Super Micro Computer: Most Arguments In The Short Report Are Unfounded

Summary
  • I reiterate a ‘Buy’ rating for Super Micro Computer, despite the Hindenburg short report, with a one-year price target of $700 per share.
  • Super Micro’s past accounting violations are acknowledged but resolved; current related-party transactions are fully disclosed and not fundamentally problematic.
  • The short report’s claims about Super Micro’s relationships with Ablecom, Compuware, Leadtek, Lambda, and Russia are largely unfounded and publicly disclosed.
  • Despite potential reputational risks from the 10K filing delay, I project strong growth and margin expansion, with a conservative $200 million SEC penalty provision.

I assigned a ‘Buy’ rating to Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ:SMCI) in my previous article published in June 2024, highlighting their comprehensive pipeline optimized for the entire computing stack in data centers.

More than 15 years of professional investment experience in global equities across all sectors. My investment style is fundamental, bottom-up, long-term, and quality growth-oriented. I am seeking companies specializing in niche markets, with strong growth potential, a solid management team, a sound capital allocation policy, and, most importantly, reasonable valuation. I do not chase quarterly results, nor do I follow the herd mentality. I do not use short-term stock performance as the measure of a company’s quality. I am targeting to achieve a 15% annual return in my portfolio. I typically construct my portfolio with 15-20 stocks, focusing on diversification of holdings, risk management, macro-driven sector weights, and disciplined trading and valuations as key factors.Disclosure: Lighting Rock and I are working in the same investment team. I am writing here independently.

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